For three decades, the dominant logic of the global economy was straightforward: markets allocate resources more efficiently than governments, free trade raises all boats, and the role of the state is to set rules, enforce contracts, and get out of the way.
That consensus is over.
What has replaced it is messier, more contested, and in some ways more honest about the actual relationship between states and markets. Governments are no longer referees. They are active players — investing in strategic industries, distorting trade flows for political purposes, and competing for economic capability with the same intensity they once reserved for military power.
The New Industrial Policy Playbook
The US CHIPS Act invested $52.7 billion in semiconductor manufacturing. The Inflation Reduction Act committed $370 billion to clean energy. The EU's Green Deal Industrial Plan provides state aid for green technology manufacturing. India's Production-Linked Incentive schemes are deliberately redirecting global supply chains toward Indian factories. China has been running this playbook for twenty years.
As Lazard's 2026 geopolitical analysis concludes, Washington's "fusion of muscular economic interventionism and transactional dealmaking has forged a new industrial strategy playbook that is reshaping the relationship between state and market." And crucially, aspects of that playbook are now going global — other governments are adopting variations of the same approach.
What This Means for Business
The practical implications for corporate strategy are profound and underappreciated.
**Location decisions are now political decisions.** Where you build a factory, a data centre, or a research facility is no longer purely an economic calculation — it is a negotiation with multiple governments that all want to be the answer.
**Supply chains need political mapping.** Understanding where your critical inputs come from, which governments control them, and what the risk is of supply being disrupted by political decisions is now a core competency, not a niche geopolitical exercise.
**Government support is available — but it comes with conditions.** Subsidies, tax incentives, and preferential treatment are on the table in ways they haven't been for decades. But governments extracting that support will expect loyalty, local employment, technology sharing, and compliance with their strategic objectives.
The companies that navigate this new landscape best will be those that treat government relations not as a lobbying function but as a strategic capability — understanding political dynamics with the same rigour they apply to markets.
The age of laissez-faire is over. The age of industrial statecraft has begun. Adapt accordingly.
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